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2023-04-11 at 15:09 #399771Nat QuinnKeymaster
Bitcoin climbed above $30,000 for the first time since June 2022, rallying more than 80% since the start of the year.
The rebound is even more intense than a nearly 20% gain on the Nasdaq 100 â with which Bitcoin has tended to move in tandem â and retraces some of the digital tokenâs losses from 2022 following a series of crypto-related blowups.
Still, Bitcoin is down more than 50% from its all-time high in November 2021.
â30k is very significant for both technical and fundamental reasons,â said Mati Greenspan, Quantum Economics chief executive officer.
âThe resistance has been building up for three weeks straight and has now finally broken. This is the first time weâve crossed that level since the collapse of Terra/Luna and Three Arrows Capital. It basically means that the price has fully recovered from Celsius, FTX and the US regulatory crackdown.â
Bitcoinâs breakout above stiff resistance at $30,000 comes after a so-called squeeze of the Bollinger Band, which saw historical volatility fall to the lowest since January.
The compression back then resulted in a sharp move upward that looks similar to Tuesdayâs upside breakout.
Traders following technical patterns may now be looking at the $30,800 area as a first potential objective, followed by $31,200.
To be sure, the crypto industry is still facing immense scrutiny. Crypto exchange Coinbase Global Inc. said it has received a notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission declaring its intention to bring an enforcement action.
The SEC has sued crypto mogul Justin Sun for allegedly violating securities rules in a case Sun said lacks merit.
And elsewhere, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has sued Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and his crypto exchange for alleged violations of derivatives regulations, though Binance has said it doesnât agree with many of the agencyâs characterizations.
But even with the setbacks, Bitcoinâs rally has gained strength over the past month following the collapse of three US banks, which revived the narrative among Bitcoin bulls that the token offers a more attractive alternative to traditional finance.
Furthermore, analysts say a drop in liquidity to a 10-month low â after market makers lost access to US banking rails provided by Silvergate Capital Corp. and Signature Bank â could also explain the rebound, at least in part. With lower trading volume, price swings can look more dramatic.
âOrder books are thin and trading activity is depressed,â said Strahinja Savic, head of data and analytics at FRNT Financial. âUnder these circumstances, it is possible that we see price action that is difficult to pin to any one reason.â
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